Method

Raven Intelligence produces non-speculative systems intelligence. The method is designed to surface structural constraint formation and cross-domain cascades before they become operationally obvious.

Outputs are evidence-backed, confidence-rated, and human-validated. The goal is clarity under uncertainty, not prediction.

Method Principles

• Constraints first: physical capacity, throughput, and resource limits precede narrative.
• Cross-domain mapping: interactions and propagation paths are treated as primary signals.
• Evidence hierarchy: preference is given to measurable constraints and operational indicators.
• Uncertainty is explicit: limits and unknowns are stated as first-class information.
• Human validation: no report is published without human review and integrity checks.

Evidence Handling

Evidence is prioritised in the following order:

1. Physical constraints (capacity, throughput, energy, water)
2. Infrastructure signals (build-outs, delays, chokepoints)
3. Regulatory actions (export controls, formal rules)
4. Operational indicators (routing, procurement, deployment)
5. Statements or commentary (used sparingly)

How Reports Are Structured

Raven Intelligence reports follow a fixed structure:

• What Changed
• Why It Matters
• Where It Ripples
• Who It Touches
• Time Horizon
• Confidence
• Limits & Unknowns

What This Is Not

• Market research
• Financial analysis or investment advice
• Political commentary or advocacy
• Forecasting presented as certainty
• Operational or implementation guidance